Dec 13, 2017
We expect global economic growth to remain robust, with headline inflation rising only gradually. Still, given this past year’s strong gains in equity prices and the slump in volatility, we think it's prudent to limit risk exposure and temporarily raise cash reserves.
Dec 13, 2017
The US Federal Reserve (Fed) will most likely again tighten monetary conditions tonight, raising its key interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point to 1.25-1.50%. The monetary policy announcement is scheduled for 8:00pm., followed by the last press conference with Janet Yellen as head of the Fed at 8:30pm. It will also be interesting to see whether Yellen will give her assessment of the potential impact of the planned US tax reform.
Nov 24, 2017
Protectionist tendencies right through to a trade war, exit movement after elections in Europe, geopolitical crises: a year ago, many economists were fearing a whole host of bad news and were anxiously braced for the worst. However, the global economy and the international financial markets in fact began 2017 in a markedly different tone to twelve months earlier, with no bangs and crashes whatsoever. Instead, the global economic and stock market concerto continued neatly in the same key in which it finished the previous year.